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The snow was thick on the ground when we gathered to talk about the future of the Gulf region, but the importance and current relevance of the subject-matter soon warmed us up.  Ditchley was pleased to be in partnership with the Sir William Luce Memorial Fund, which had been holding a series of seminars since on “Political Evolution and the GCC”.  This event was designed to build on that series and the Luce Fund was instrumental in helping to gather senior and experienced voices from the countries of the region to provide the foundation for our debate. 

The Luce Fund findings had identified some key factors underlying political change in the GCC states and these provided a starting point for this conference.  They are worth a brief summary here:

          1.        Political evolution in the Gulf had not kept up with economic change.  Yet the six states had so far proved remarkably stable. 

          2.        Each state had its own history and characteristics and the pace of change would vary from state to state.

          3.        The GCC faced strong internal pressures for reform.  These were being suppressed in some states and social unrest was possible if oil prices fell.  Developments in Iraq were also a relevant factor.

          4.        The growing number of in